Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World
1st Edition
0072311355
·
9780072311358
© 2000 | Published: February 11, 2000
Today’s leading authority on the subject is the author, MIT Standish Professor of Management and Director of the System Dynamics Group, John D. Sterman. Sterman’s objective is to explain, in a true textbook format, what system dynamics is, and ho…
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INTRODUCTIONPART I. PERSPECTIVE AND PROCESS1. LEARNING IN AND ABOUT COMPLEX SYSTEMS2. SYSTEM DYNAMICS IN ACTION3. THE MODELING PROCESS4. STRUCTURE AND BEHAVIOR OF DYNAMIC SYSTEMSPART II. TOOLS FOR SYSTEMS THINKING5. CAUSAL LOOP DIAGRAMS6. STOCKS AND FLOWS7. DYNAMICS OF STOCKS AND FLOWS8. CLOSING THE LOOP: DYNAMICS OF SIMPLE STRUCTURESPART III. THE DYNAMICS OF GROWTH9. S-SHAPED GROWTH: EPIDEMICS, INNOVATION DIFFUSION, AND THE GROWTH OF NEW PRODUCTS10. PATH DEPENDENCE AND POSITIVE FEEDBACKPART IV. TOOLS FOR MODELING DYNAMIC SYSTEMS11. DELAYS12. CO-FLOWS AND AGING CHAINS13. MODELING HUMAN BEHAVIOR: BOUNDED RATIONALITY OR RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS14. FORECASTS AND FUDGE FACTORS: MODELING EXPECTATION FORMATIONPART V. INSTABILITY AND OSCILLATION15. SUPPLY CHAINS AND THE ORIGIN OF OSCILLATIONS16. MANAGING SUPPLY CHAINS IN MANUFACTURING17. THE LABOR SUPPLY CHAIN AND THE ORIGIN OF BUSINESS CYCLES18. THE INVISIBLE HAND SOMETIMES SHAKES: COMMODITY CYCLESVALIDATION AND MODEL TESTING APPENDIX A: NUMERICAL INTEGRATIONAPPENDIX B: NOISEREFERENCESINDEX
1. LEARNING IN AND ABOUT COMPLEX SYSTEMS2. SYSTEM DYNAMICS IN ACTION3. THE MODELING PROCESS4. STRUCTURE AND BEHAVIOR OF DYNAMIC SYSTEMSPART II. TOOLS FOR SYSTEMS THINKING5. CAUSAL LOOP DIAGRAMS6. STOCKS AND FLOWS7. DYNAMICS OF STOCKS AND FLOWS8. CLOSING THE LOOP: DYNAMICS OF SIMPLE STRUCTURESPART III. THE DYNAMICS OF GROWTH9. S-SHAPED GROWTH: EPIDEMICS, INNOVATION DIFFUSION, AND THE GROWTH OF NEW PRODUCTS10. PATH DEPENDENCE AND POSITIVE FEEDBACKPART IV. TOOLS FOR MODELING DYNAMIC SYSTEMS11. DELAYS12. CO-FLOWS AND AGING CHAINS13. MODELING HUMAN BEHAVIOR: BOUNDED RATIONALITY OR RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS14. FORECASTS AND FUDGE FACTORS: MODELING EXPECTATION FORMATIONPART V. INSTABILITY AND OSCILLATION15. SUPPLY CHAINS AND THE ORIGIN OF OSCILLATIONS16. MANAGING SUPPLY CHAINS IN MANUFACTURING17. THE LABOR SUPPLY CHAIN AND THE ORIGIN OF BUSINESS CYCLES18. THE INVISIBLE HAND SOMETIMES SHAKES: COMMODITY CYCLESVALIDATION AND MODEL TESTING APPENDIX A: NUMERICAL INTEGRATIONAPPENDIX B: NOISEREFERENCESINDEX
3. THE MODELING PROCESS4. STRUCTURE AND BEHAVIOR OF DYNAMIC SYSTEMSPART II. TOOLS FOR SYSTEMS THINKING5. CAUSAL LOOP DIAGRAMS6. STOCKS AND FLOWS7. DYNAMICS OF STOCKS AND FLOWS8. CLOSING THE LOOP: DYNAMICS OF SIMPLE STRUCTURESPART III. THE DYNAMICS OF GROWTH9. S-SHAPED GROWTH: EPIDEMICS, INNOVATION DIFFUSION, AND THE GROWTH OF NEW PRODUCTS10. PATH DEPENDENCE AND POSITIVE FEEDBACKPART IV. TOOLS FOR MODELING DYNAMIC SYSTEMS11. DELAYS12. CO-FLOWS AND AGING CHAINS13. MODELING HUMAN BEHAVIOR: BOUNDED RATIONALITY OR RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS14. FORECASTS AND FUDGE FACTORS: MODELING EXPECTATION FORMATIONPART V. INSTABILITY AND OSCILLATION15. SUPPLY CHAINS AND THE ORIGIN OF OSCILLATIONS16. MANAGING SUPPLY CHAINS IN MANUFACTURING17. THE LABOR SUPPLY CHAIN AND THE ORIGIN OF BUSINESS CYCLES18. THE INVISIBLE HAND SOMETIMES SHAKES: COMMODITY CYCLESVALIDATION AND MODEL TESTING APPENDIX A: NUMERICAL INTEGRATIONAPPENDIX B: NOISEREFERENCESINDEX
5. CAUSAL LOOP DIAGRAMS6. STOCKS AND FLOWS7. DYNAMICS OF STOCKS AND FLOWS8. CLOSING THE LOOP: DYNAMICS OF SIMPLE STRUCTURESPART III. THE DYNAMICS OF GROWTH9. S-SHAPED GROWTH: EPIDEMICS, INNOVATION DIFFUSION, AND THE GROWTH OF NEW PRODUCTS10. PATH DEPENDENCE AND POSITIVE FEEDBACKPART IV. TOOLS FOR MODELING DYNAMIC SYSTEMS11. DELAYS12. CO-FLOWS AND AGING CHAINS13. MODELING HUMAN BEHAVIOR: BOUNDED RATIONALITY OR RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS14. FORECASTS AND FUDGE FACTORS: MODELING EXPECTATION FORMATIONPART V. INSTABILITY AND OSCILLATION15. SUPPLY CHAINS AND THE ORIGIN OF OSCILLATIONS16. MANAGING SUPPLY CHAINS IN MANUFACTURING17. THE LABOR SUPPLY CHAIN AND THE ORIGIN OF BUSINESS CYCLES18. THE INVISIBLE HAND SOMETIMES SHAKES: COMMODITY CYCLESVALIDATION AND MODEL TESTING APPENDIX A: NUMERICAL INTEGRATIONAPPENDIX B: NOISEREFERENCESINDEX
7. DYNAMICS OF STOCKS AND FLOWS8. CLOSING THE LOOP: DYNAMICS OF SIMPLE STRUCTURESPART III. THE DYNAMICS OF GROWTH9. S-SHAPED GROWTH: EPIDEMICS, INNOVATION DIFFUSION, AND THE GROWTH OF NEW PRODUCTS10. PATH DEPENDENCE AND POSITIVE FEEDBACKPART IV. TOOLS FOR MODELING DYNAMIC SYSTEMS11. DELAYS12. CO-FLOWS AND AGING CHAINS13. MODELING HUMAN BEHAVIOR: BOUNDED RATIONALITY OR RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS14. FORECASTS AND FUDGE FACTORS: MODELING EXPECTATION FORMATIONPART V. INSTABILITY AND OSCILLATION15. SUPPLY CHAINS AND THE ORIGIN OF OSCILLATIONS16. MANAGING SUPPLY CHAINS IN MANUFACTURING17. THE LABOR SUPPLY CHAIN AND THE ORIGIN OF BUSINESS CYCLES18. THE INVISIBLE HAND SOMETIMES SHAKES: COMMODITY CYCLESVALIDATION AND MODEL TESTING APPENDIX A: NUMERICAL INTEGRATIONAPPENDIX B: NOISEREFERENCESINDEX
PART III. THE DYNAMICS OF GROWTH9. S-SHAPED GROWTH: EPIDEMICS, INNOVATION DIFFUSION, AND THE GROWTH OF NEW PRODUCTS10. PATH DEPENDENCE AND POSITIVE FEEDBACKPART IV. TOOLS FOR MODELING DYNAMIC SYSTEMS11. DELAYS12. CO-FLOWS AND AGING CHAINS13. MODELING HUMAN BEHAVIOR: BOUNDED RATIONALITY OR RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS14. FORECASTS AND FUDGE FACTORS: MODELING EXPECTATION FORMATIONPART V. INSTABILITY AND OSCILLATION15. SUPPLY CHAINS AND THE ORIGIN OF OSCILLATIONS16. MANAGING SUPPLY CHAINS IN MANUFACTURING17. THE LABOR SUPPLY CHAIN AND THE ORIGIN OF BUSINESS CYCLES18. THE INVISIBLE HAND SOMETIMES SHAKES: COMMODITY CYCLESVALIDATION AND MODEL TESTING APPENDIX A: NUMERICAL INTEGRATIONAPPENDIX B: NOISEREFERENCESINDEX
10. PATH DEPENDENCE AND POSITIVE FEEDBACKPART IV. TOOLS FOR MODELING DYNAMIC SYSTEMS11. DELAYS12. CO-FLOWS AND AGING CHAINS13. MODELING HUMAN BEHAVIOR: BOUNDED RATIONALITY OR RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS14. FORECASTS AND FUDGE FACTORS: MODELING EXPECTATION FORMATIONPART V. INSTABILITY AND OSCILLATION15. SUPPLY CHAINS AND THE ORIGIN OF OSCILLATIONS16. MANAGING SUPPLY CHAINS IN MANUFACTURING17. THE LABOR SUPPLY CHAIN AND THE ORIGIN OF BUSINESS CYCLES18. THE INVISIBLE HAND SOMETIMES SHAKES: COMMODITY CYCLESVALIDATION AND MODEL TESTING APPENDIX A: NUMERICAL INTEGRATIONAPPENDIX B: NOISEREFERENCESINDEX
11. DELAYS12. CO-FLOWS AND AGING CHAINS13. MODELING HUMAN BEHAVIOR: BOUNDED RATIONALITY OR RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS14. FORECASTS AND FUDGE FACTORS: MODELING EXPECTATION FORMATIONPART V. INSTABILITY AND OSCILLATION15. SUPPLY CHAINS AND THE ORIGIN OF OSCILLATIONS16. MANAGING SUPPLY CHAINS IN MANUFACTURING17. THE LABOR SUPPLY CHAIN AND THE ORIGIN OF BUSINESS CYCLES18. THE INVISIBLE HAND SOMETIMES SHAKES: COMMODITY CYCLESVALIDATION AND MODEL TESTING APPENDIX A: NUMERICAL INTEGRATIONAPPENDIX B: NOISEREFERENCESINDEX
13. MODELING HUMAN BEHAVIOR: BOUNDED RATIONALITY OR RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS14. FORECASTS AND FUDGE FACTORS: MODELING EXPECTATION FORMATIONPART V. INSTABILITY AND OSCILLATION15. SUPPLY CHAINS AND THE ORIGIN OF OSCILLATIONS16. MANAGING SUPPLY CHAINS IN MANUFACTURING17. THE LABOR SUPPLY CHAIN AND THE ORIGIN OF BUSINESS CYCLES18. THE INVISIBLE HAND SOMETIMES SHAKES: COMMODITY CYCLESVALIDATION AND MODEL TESTING APPENDIX A: NUMERICAL INTEGRATIONAPPENDIX B: NOISEREFERENCESINDEX
PART V. INSTABILITY AND OSCILLATION15. SUPPLY CHAINS AND THE ORIGIN OF OSCILLATIONS16. MANAGING SUPPLY CHAINS IN MANUFACTURING17. THE LABOR SUPPLY CHAIN AND THE ORIGIN OF BUSINESS CYCLES18. THE INVISIBLE HAND SOMETIMES SHAKES: COMMODITY CYCLESVALIDATION AND MODEL TESTING APPENDIX A: NUMERICAL INTEGRATIONAPPENDIX B: NOISEREFERENCESINDEX
16. MANAGING SUPPLY CHAINS IN MANUFACTURING17. THE LABOR SUPPLY CHAIN AND THE ORIGIN OF BUSINESS CYCLES18. THE INVISIBLE HAND SOMETIMES SHAKES: COMMODITY CYCLESVALIDATION AND MODEL TESTING APPENDIX A: NUMERICAL INTEGRATIONAPPENDIX B: NOISEREFERENCESINDEX
18. THE INVISIBLE HAND SOMETIMES SHAKES: COMMODITY CYCLESVALIDATION AND MODEL TESTING APPENDIX A: NUMERICAL INTEGRATIONAPPENDIX B: NOISEREFERENCESINDEX
APPENDIX A: NUMERICAL INTEGRATIONAPPENDIX B: NOISEREFERENCESINDEX
REFERENCESINDEX
Today’s leading authority on the subject is the author, MIT Standish Professor of Management and Director of the System Dynamics Group, John D. Sterman. Sterman’s objective is to explain, in a true textbook format, what system dynamics is, and how it can be successfully applied to solve business and organizational problems. System dynamics is both a currently utilized approach to organizational problem-solving at the professional level, and a field of study in business, engineering, and social and physical sciences.